Fixed
Income Investing...why isn't this easy?
Most
people (including myself) would insist that Equity Investing is the most
difficult to master. After all, that is the venue for: erratic price
fluctuations caused by an endless supply of social, economic, and political
variables; the standard Wall Street misinformation, corporate malfeasance, self
serving financial gurus, and product sales persons; a myriad of popular and
market moving speculations from IPOs to Option and Margin strategies; thousands
of media talk shows and their financial markets experts! When you think you
understand the stock market brother, you are in serious trouble!
But
more devastating than everything that has been done to turn Equity Investing
into a product shopping mall of some kind, is the "bottom line/market
value" brainwashing that has taken the calm, secure, and smiley-faced
world of Income Investing and turned it upside down! I get more phone calls and
e-mails from confused Fixed Income Investors than I ever receive from a simple
plunge in Equity prices. Admittedly, very few Equity investors get to that
special place, shouting "Eureka!" as they first realize that
corrections in the "Shock Market" are every bit as lovable as
rallies. But not recognizing that slowly rising interest rates is as much a
boon for Fixed Income Investors as it could possibly be a temporary set back
for a struggling economy...well, that's just another example of irresponsible
investor "counter-education" from our beloved enemies, the financial
institutions!
Fixed
Income Investors must learn to hold these truths to be self evident: (1) More
interest on your fixed income dollars is just better for you than less income
on your fixed income dollars, and the amount you have allocated to Fixed Income
Investing should never change because of market factors! (2) A change in the
Market Value of the Fixed Income securities you already own has absolutely no
bearing on any assumptions that could possibly be made about the credit
worthiness of the issuers of the fixed income securities themselves. (3) A
change in the Market Value of your Fixed Income holdings has no negative impact
on the regular recurring income that you receive and, after all, you bought
them for just that reason in the first place! (4) Buying fixed income
securities in a rising interest rate environment has a positive
"compounding" effect on portfolio yields and, at the same time,
plants the seeds for future capital gains as interest rates recede. (5) The
"right" kind of fixed income securities can be added to as interest
rates rise both to increase the average yield AND to decrease the average cost
of the securities.
Why is
this not easy?
It's
not easy because financial professionals and pseudo-professionals alike won't
let it be. If you have a properly designed Investment Portfolio, you must view
each segment separately and with an understanding of the purpose of each. Avoid
advisors who consider the bottom line market value of such a portfolio as
anything other than an "expectation corroborator" (and your just
going to have to call me if you don't know what that is). Your portfolio market
value should never be a surprise and, more importantly it should never be
looked at as something to be particularly concerned about... at least not
immediately. For example, you had to be living in a cave somewhere and smoking
something special to think that your portfolio would be up in market value in
June, particularly if it contained Fixed Income securities.
You
really have to learn to love the simplicity of Fixed Income investing. Interest
rate sensitivity is a given (and, by the way, interest rate
"expectations" are sensitive to inflation expectations!) Price
movements are both predictable and meaningless. We actually have an investment
condition that approaches certainty. This is an investment nirvana, people!
Don't let those guys in the pinstriped suits get you confused. Don't panic,
don't switch, and don't cry in your beer. Look at the income number on your
statement and go "hmmmm" when you see no meaningful change in either
direction. (Actually, if you're doing this properly, the year over year base
income figure should have increased.)
So the
recent bad news (all of it) is really good news for investors (actually, most
news is) and yes, just as higher interest rates are actually better than lower
ones to a certain extent, so should lower stock prices be welcomed with more
smiles than tears. Only those speculators who haven't taken their rally profits
(as we have) are unhappy with corrections. Dealing with both events at the same
time can make your bottom (line) a bit uncomfortable, but only until you
recognize that smaller numbers are better for buying and that their larger
cousins are best appreciated with sell orders.
At times
like these, some investment professionals will play to your fears, encouraging
you to cut your losses, and to switch to something else. You don't have losses
UNLESS you fall for this switching advice. Don't be pushed into such decisions
no matter how smart the arguments seem. All fixed income investments (with the
exception of open end Mutual Funds) are created equally and switching just
doesn't work. An unhappy investor is the Broker's best friend; so don't allow
interest rates in either direction to affect your investment mood...
Steve
Selengut
http://www.sancoservices.com
http://www.valuestockbuylistprogram.com
Professional
Portfolio Management since 1979
Author
of: "The Brainwashing of the American Investor: The Book that Wall Street
Does Not Want YOU to Read", and "A Millionaire's Secret Investment
Strategy"